Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
Standard
29
Ṁ2590
2026
19%
chance

“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”

https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732

This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.

I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.

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Side commentary; it's weird that Elon seems to want this to happen. The point of Optimus is supposed to be that humanoid robots will be "good enough" at a huge range of tasks, because they can interact physically with the world in ways similar to a human. The point is not supposed to be that humanoid robots will be better at assembly line manufacturing!! That's where specialized robots obviously shine. Am I missing something?

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