How much global warming by 2050?
8
190Ṁ69Ṁ
242
per share
1D
1W
1M
ALL
the average global temperature on Earth has increased by at least 1.1° Celsius (1.9° Fahrenheit) since 1880.
How far above 1880 levels will the temperature be in 2050?
100 M = 1°C
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
predictedSHORT
Should the close date be more like 31 Jan 2051 rather than May 3023?
The warming rate is around 0.2C per decade so 1.1 + 3*0.2 suggests ~1.7C warmer. If this is 1 mana per .01C then price should fall towards ~170.
Emissions changes have to be dramatic to change this warming rate by much.
Related questions
Related questions
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2050?
11% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
27% chance
The world will reach a global agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050
42% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2050?
13% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2050?
20% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?
50% chance
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Global warming will increase by at least 2.5° in 2050 and crushing the Paris Agreement.
58% chance