Is the era of hand-held laser weapons capable of burning holes through flesh in our future (i.e. before 2044)?
10
190Ṁ1982044
50%
chance
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This will resolve to YES if hand-held laser weapons are available commercially (including if they are restricted to the military) before the end of 2043. For this purpose, a weapon would need to be capable of causing second degree burns at a distance of at least 50 yards in order to count. A single person would need to be able to comfortably carry both the weapon and its power supply.
See https://manifold.markets/MarcMayerson/will-the-nra-advocate-the-second-am
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