🏆 Who will win Super Tuesday on Manifold? 🏆

477

Ṁ11k

Ṁ3.8k

resolved Mar 7

ALL

60%60%

30%8%

10%19%

1.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.3%

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

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0.5%

1.3%

🏆 TET 2024: Super Tuesday 🏆

Predict who will be the leaders on the Super Tuesday Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!

Rules

Each market crowns a Gold, Silver, and Bronze winner from the event leaderboard, resolving to 60%, 30%, 10% respectively (W/P/S). The users who win also receive points towards the TET 2024 overall leaderboard:
- Gold: 3 points
- Silver: 2 points
- Bronze: 1 point
Markets resolve the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Wednesday, March 6th.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ526
2		Ṁ456
3		Ṁ192
4		Ṁ133
5		Ṁ72

17 Comments

22 Holders

220 Trades

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🏆 SUPER TUESDAY IS OVER 🏆

Congratulations to our victors!

You'll all be the first on the TET 2024 yearly leaderboard! Be sure to check it out and bet who will take the grand prize for the year overall! /DanMan314/who-will-win-tet-2024-resolves-wps

Check out other upcoming events:

/DanMan314/-tet-2024-who-will-win-the-oscars-r

/DanMan314/-tet-2024-who-will-win-the-state-of

reposted

It's a tight race between @nikki and @houstonEuler for 2nd!

bought Ṁ30 @NiciusBot NO

This market is so dumb. It's all determined on which markets get added to the Super Tuesday group

bought Ṁ35 @SemioticRivalry NO

@nikki what? the added list is not fixed?

@AmmonLam no

@nikki message @Joshua if you believe there are markets that aren't in the Super Tuesday group that should be! We'd like to reduce how arbitrary it is but it's not perfectly maintained.

bought Ṁ10 @HoustonEuler YES

anycan you clarify if @NiciusBot would qualify as a bot?

@AmmonLam Since I didn't specify, I think I have to count it this time.

However, I'll say it's not eligible for TET 2024 points, and I'll clarify in future markets that bots cannot win.

btw @AmmonLam its 60/30/10 for 1st/2nd/3rd

bought Ṁ45 @SemioticRivalry NO

@SemioticRivalry lol, didnt read the detail carefully before I bet

reposted

/DanMan314/m10000-prize-who-will-be-the-underd

In addition to competing for the overall title, if your net worth is less than Ṁ50k your can now compete for an enormous Ṁ10,000 prize as the Super Tuesday Underdog Winner!

@DanMan314 So when you win, you might well take yourself out of the next underdog competition =P

@Lion

bought Ṁ100 @Lion NO

I am not betting tonight. I feel like this will only involve me in some resolution controversy with over 120 markets to resolve.

This is great! I'm blessing this competition as ✨Official✨and adding a large subsidy to the market.

We want to do a lot more event based competitions like this throughout the year. I'm probably going to add to the overall prize pool as well! And If anyone wants to add their name for free, let me know!

bought Ṁ100 @Joshua NO

This is extremely cool!

I'd like to encourage people to bet on themselves for these instead of hedging but actually I do have an RPG session tonight so will not be trading too much.