Who will Biden pardon after the election?
➕
Plus
99
Ṁ20k
Jan 22
98%
5 or more people with marijuana-related drug charges
39%
James Biden
35%
Adam Schiff
29%
Liz Cheney
26%
Anthony Fauci
25%
Jack Smith
25%
Steven Donziger
14%
Anyone facing a death sentence
10%
Kamala Harris
7%
Edward Snowden
7%
Bob Menendez
6%
Julian Assange
5%
Jay-Z
5%
Donald Trump
5%
Jamaal Bowman
3%
Mike Pence
1%
Ryan Wesley Routh
Resolved
YES
Hunter Biden

An outbound president traditionally grants pardons during their lame duck period, after the election but before they leave office.

Who will Joe Biden pardon during this period?

This market will be limited to an actual pardon, and exclude other forms of clemency such as commutation of a sentence.

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I'll be leaning on this to resolve:

https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-joseph-biden-2021-present

It hasn't been updated for the latest batch yet, though.

@DanHomerick page has december 12 pardons now.

By my count, there was one marijuana pardon (Gary Michael Robinson), but the rest of the drug related ones were cocaine, meth, or heroin.

None of the markets for a specific individual matched, that I saw.

There won't be any NO resolutions until after Biden has left the presidency, of course.

@traders A

similar marker can be found here

@traders A related market can be found here:

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Marnix the article doesn't have much connection to this market. There people are seeking commutation of their death sentences, whereas this market is only for pardons.

@DanHomerick ah, right, had a moment of forgetting commutations exist

Any pardons granted from now until Trump takes office will be part of this market.

bought Ṁ150 NO

I find it amusing that "Donald Trump" and "the guy who tried to assassinate Donald Trump" are equally likely to be pardoned.

bought Ṁ500 NO

@DanHomerick Just opened a large NO position because this is silly

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