Resolution Criteria

• Each answer will resolve YES if that individual accepts a presidential pardon from Joe Biden before he leaves office

• Each answer will resolve NO if:

  • The individual explicitly declines a pardon that has been issued

  • Biden's term ends without that person receiving a pardon

• If a pardon is offered but the individual's acceptance/rejection is unclear (after intense research and examination by myself) the market for that person will resolve N/A

• Posthumous pardons will resolve YES

• Given the unique nature of preemptive pardons (that is pardons where the person has not yet been accused of a crime) in that recipients of such pardons cannot publicly accept the pardon by entering it into evidence, it will be assumed that the recipient of a preemptive pardon will accept it, absent evidence to the contrary.

• Both full and partial pardons qualify for YES resolution however, preemptive commutations will not count.

On Adding Answers:

• I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

• If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve, that answer will resolve N/A

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

• Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - This market refers to pardons and not communications. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-17-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Preemptive Pardon Declination Period: Recipients have one week to publicly decline a preemptive pardon.

  • Immediate Resolution upon Acceptance: If a recipient publicly accepts a pardon, it resolves immediately.

• Update 2025-21-01 (PST): - Adam Schiff Resolution Adjustment: The Adam Schiff market will resolve to 25% if no further statements are made regarding his pardon, reflecting his partial denunciation without an explicit pardon declination. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-25-01 (PST): - Pete Aguilar Resolution Adjustment: The Pete Aguilar market will resolve to 50% a week after the issuance of the pardon, unless further statements or evidence come to light. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-26-01 (PST): - Adam Schiff and Pete Aguilar Resolution Adjustment: The markets for Adam Schiff and Pete Aguilar will resolve to N/A under the existing rules, unless further statements or evidence are provided. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-27-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Zoe Logfren and Jim Biden will resolve to 100% due to the lack of statements.

  • Adam Schiff and Pete Aguilar markets will resolve to N/A due to ambiguity in the rules and lack of appropriate resolution to "YES".