When will NASA's VIPER mission launch?
7
95
แน€705
2027
1.4%
2H 2027 or later
5%
It will be cancelled / never launch.
15%
Q4 2024 or before
60%
Q1 2025 or before
91%
Q2 2025 or before
97%
Q3 2025 or before
97%
Q4 2025 or before
98%
Q2 2026 or before
98%
Q1 2026 or before

VIPER (Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover) is a NASA mission that is being delivered to the Moon as part of the commerical CLPS program. It is slated to be launched on a Falcon Heavy and to be delivered to the lunar surface by Atrobotic's Griffin lander.

According to NASA's mission website, it will launch "Late 2024".

Quarters are for a calender year (i.e. Q1 is Jan 1 - Mar 31). For the "or before" answers, multiple answers may resolve YES.

If the mission details shift (i.e. a different launch vehicle or lander), then the question will still work the same.

Related markets:

https://manifold.markets/DanHomerick/will-nasas-viper-mission-successful?r=RGFuSG9tZXJpY2s

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