Will there be a direct military conflict between Poland and Russia before the end of 2023?
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This market resolves as "Yes" if there is any direct combat between Russian and Polish forces. Note that both sides need to be directly involved in the conflict (i.e there needs to be an exchange of bullets/rockets).
Background: On Tuesday (15.11.2022) Russian rockets crossed into Polish territory and killed 2 people. In response, the Polish State Security Council convened. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-zelenskyy-kherson-9202c032cf3a5c22761ee71b52ff9d52
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