MANIFOLD
Will the TTM tantalum price for concentrate imports exceed 160 USD/lb on April 1, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ30
Apr 1
37%
chance

Resolves YES if the trailing twelve months (TTM) average price for tantalum concentrate imports is reported above 160 USD per pound on April 1, 2026, according to authoritative industry price indexes such as Metal Bulletin or Fastmarkets. Current market tightness driven by increased capacitor demand and supply disruptions from DRC and Rwanda has pushed prices upward, with $160/lb near the expected price level reflecting ongoing supply constraints and substitution limits in key industrial segments. Prices must be the official published TTM average on that date; spot prices or forward contracts do not count.

Tantalum concentrate prices are surging due to increased capacitor demand and supply disruptions from DRC and Rwanda. As market tightness persists, prices are expected to continue rising in the near term.

Source: Article

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