Resolves YES if the trailing twelve months (TTM) average price for tantalum concentrate imports, measured in USD per pound, is strictly greater than $170 on April 1, 2026. Resolution will use official pricing data from industry sources such as Metal Bulletin or USGS mineral commodity summaries published near that date. Given ongoing supply disruptions from DRC and Rwanda alongside strong capacitor demand, prices have surged recently and are expected to remain elevated, with $170/lb near the current market consensus. This market excludes prices for refined tantalum or alloys and focuses solely on concentrate import prices.

Tantalum concentrate prices are surging due to increased capacitor demand and supply disruptions from DRC and Rwanda. As market tightness persists, prices are expected to continue rising in the near term.

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