Will the APT tungsten price exceed $5,000 per mtu on May 1, 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4kresolved May 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the official Asian Processing Tungsten (APT) price, as reported by industry price indexes or authoritative market sources such as Metal Bulletin or Fastmarkets, is strictly greater than $5,000 per metric ton unit (mtu) on May 1, 2026. This price reflects the spot or assessed price for APT tungsten on that date. The market is sensitive to supply disruptions from China Jinba Bowen's export suspension, which could tighten global supply and push prices above this threshold. Only the APT tungsten price counts; prices of other tungsten products or alloys do not affect resolution.
The suspension of exports by a major producer like China Jinba Bowen is likely to tighten supply and increase prices globally.
Source: Article
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ42 | |
| 2 | Ṁ34 | |
| 3 | Ṁ30 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the global tungsten APT price exceed $1,350/mtu by May 20, 2026?
95% chance
Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 500 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?
68% chance
Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 550 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?
55% chance
Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 600 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?
39% chance
Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 450 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?
80% chance
Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 5 percent increase on May 31, 2026?
80% chance
Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 10 percent increase on May 31, 2026?
37% chance
Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 15 percent increase on May 31, 2026?
26% chance
Will tantalum prices exceed $600/kg in Europe by June 30, 2026?
66% chance
Will I be able to purchase 1 kg of tungsten for under 150$ by 2028?
30% chance