Will Project Vault's stockpile cause U.S. lithium prices to fall below $18/kg by March 22, 2026?
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Ṁ100Ṁ206Mar 22
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Resolves YES if the average U.S. lithium price falls below $18/kg by March 22, 2026, as reported by the USGS or a similar authoritative source. Current lithium prices have rallied to approximately $21/kg in early 2026, driven by increased demand for power storage and AI infrastructure. Project Vault aims to stabilize critical mineral supply chains, potentially impacting lithium prices by providing a buffer against supply disruptions. The threshold of $18/kg is significant as it represents a potential reduction in price volatility, which could benefit manufacturers reliant on lithium for batteries and other applications.
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