By end of 2024, what will happen to Donald Trump? (arby)
Basic
5
Ṁ276resolved Apr 5
100%55%
Indicted and arrested
24%
Not indicted or arrested
14%
Indicted, dead, not arrested
1.3%
Indicted, flees country, not arrested
1.3%
Indicted, criminal summons, not arrested
1.3%
Indicted near close date of this market, not yet arrested
1.3%
Dead, defenestrated or hospitalised before indicted
1.3%
Other (please comment, but all Others get paid on same resolution)
1.3%
Arrested, but not indicted. (how?)
Trump is an endless source of markets to arbitrage against each other. (https://manifold.markets/search?s=close-date&f=open&q=trump)
Lets add to that heap!
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