How many of the Jan 6 protestors pardoned by Trump will be arrested between market creation and 11:59EST, Jan 6, 2026?
➕
Plus
5
Ṁ537
2026
4%
0
6%
1
6%
2-4
10%
5-8
18%
9-16
20%
17-32
12%
33-64
7%
65-128
6%
129-256
6%
257-512
6%
513+

President Trump has pardoned nearly 1,600 protestors who were charged with various crimes related to their participation in the Jan 6 Capitol riot. How many will be arrested for any reason between the beginning of this market and the end of Jan 6, 2026?

This market will resolve one week after close.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@johnwhiles Need to see whether it was before market creation, but yes, this sort of thing!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules