Background On January 6, 2021, thousands of individuals participated in a riot at the U.S. Capitol. Some participants were later pardoned. Several of these individuals had leadership roles in extremist groups like the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys, and some had demonstrated premeditated violent intentions. For example, Guy Wesley Reffitt had planned violent actions against elected officials and threatened his own family members to prevent them from reporting him.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if at least one person who received a pardon for their involvement in the January 6 Capitol riot is:

1. Arrested and charged with domestic terrorism-related offenses, OR

2. Identified by law enforcement as a participant in a domestic terrorism plot, OR

3. Directly involved in an incident classified as domestic terrorism by U.S. federal authorities

The market will resolve NO if none of the pardoned January 6 rioters meet any of these criteria before January 1, 2029.

Considerations

• The FBI and DHS define domestic terrorism as acts dangerous to human life that violate federal or state law and appear intended to intimidate or coerce civilians; influence government policy through intimidation or coercion; or affect government conduct through mass destruction, assassination, or kidnapping

• Former DHS officials have expressed concerns that pardons could embolden those previously involved in extremist activities

• The resolution criteria specifically focuses on domestic terrorism charges/incidents, not other criminal activities

• The market considers only those who received pardons specifically related to January 6 activities, not other pardoned individuals