Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
2
100Ṁ602100
37%
chance
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1M
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet. It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Beijing Loach persists.
For more information about the species, see:
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202502/1329254.shtml
For comparison, here the market about full extinction risk, including captive individuals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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