About me:
Stanford sophomore, studying Symbolic Systems / Math / random rabbitholes
Volunteered at The Curve, ILIAD, and other conferences — have met some people in the field
Haven't really done any prior research in AI ... worried about this :(
Feel free to ask questions or give recommendations!
If I don't apply to any of these programs, I will resolve to my best-guess probability of what my chances would have been.
I will not bet unless probabilities seem extremely wrong.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000@StephenFowler28ac I think my chance of applying to each individual program is >50%. I have spent a bit more time thinking about MARS and MATS, so maybe those are your best ones to bet on?