Will anyone from the Summer Program for Applied Rationality (SPARC) program win a Thiel Fellowship by 2026?
10
182Ṁ14442027
81%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will anyone from https://www.livetheresidency.com/ win the Thiel Fellowship in 2026?
64% chance
Will someone from the hacker house calculus.house win a thiel fellowship by EOY2027?
45% chance
Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?
70% chance
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
32% chance
Will Arnav Shah win EITHER an Emergent Ventures or Thiel Fellowship by 2028?
41% chance
Will a regular of c-Haus in Cambridge, MA (Lucas Chu's) win the Thiel Fellowship in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
24% chance
Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow?
23% chance
Will any of the 2016 Pareto Fellows end up with a MacArthur Fellowship by EOY 2040?
50% chance
Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC attend SPARC by 2030?
50% chance
Will any Edge Esmeralda fellow become Thiel Fellow by EOY2028?
48% chance