Will FiveThirtyEight publish a 2024 Democratic primaries forecast?
21
36
410
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO

I believe the only primary forecast so far they've published was for the 2020 Democratic primaries.

This market resolves YES if FiveThirtyEight publishes a forecast before the first caucus or primary that lists probabilities for Democratic presidential candidates to win the 2024 nomination. It resolves NO otherwise.

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Close date updated to 2024-02-05 11:59 pm

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Oops, this should’ve resolved after Iowa. Sorry for the delay!

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