Will FiveThirtyEight publish a 2024 Democratic primaries forecast?
21
410Ṁ2517resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
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I believe the only primary forecast so far they've published was for the 2020 Democratic primaries.
This market resolves YES if FiveThirtyEight publishes a forecast before the first caucus or primary that lists probabilities for Democratic presidential candidates to win the 2024 nomination. It resolves NO otherwise.
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Close date updated to 2024-02-05 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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