Manifold loans are no longer automatic and now require clicking a button every day. While it could have some benefits, especially for users who don't understand the loan system, it's widely considered to be an annoyance for power users, with many saying in the Discord that it would be a major turn-off. It's especially annoying for bot users.
Main ways this market would resolve:
A settings toggle for "Enable automatic loans" is added
The loans become automatic for everyone again
The loans become automatic for users who meet some activity/credit-worthiness threshold (e.g. over 10k net worth, active for over a month, etc)
See also
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ204 | |
| 2 | Ṁ104 | |
| 3 | Ṁ82 | |
| 4 | Ṁ74 | |
| 5 | Ṁ64 |
People are also trading
@Conflux since there's a "not by end of Dec 30th" option, does that imply any options added for dates after Dec 30th will be ignored?
@chrisjbillington Yes, I will resolve to “Not by end of December 30” at end of Dec 30 if this hasn’t happened
I bet down Not by the end of 30 Dec to about 80% -- he's actively working on this today and has already made a commit related to the loan button. But adding an automatic option would probably be a little bit more work.
@Conflux Huh. I've seen multi-way markets like this (which seem to be a set of individual markets) where a subset of the markets have been resolved. Is this a different kind of market than those?
@josh here the options are related, probability of all options sums to 1 (100%). In the markets you are refferencing each option is its own submarket so probability does not necessarily sum to 1. There you can resolve each submarket, here you have to resolve the whole market.
@Eliza If I knew for sure who was and was not "at work" today and tomorrow, I would proooooobably take a position for those two, but I'm not confident in my reading of their schedules.