This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

Winning big is house, senate and presidency, downfall speeding up is negative change in trend for a majority of HDI, life expectancy (correcting for the pandemic), rate of home ownership, GDP and percentage of population living in poverty

• Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:

  • Single options cannot be resolved with this market type.