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MANIFOLD
Will Democrats win 2028 white house election?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ28
2028
62%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • YES: The presidential candidate officially nominated by or representing the Democratic Party is elected President of the United States in the 2028 election.

  • NO: A candidate representing any other political party (such as the Republican Party) or running as an independent wins the election.

The outcome will be verified using official state results aggregated by the Federal Election Commission (FEC), major news network consensus calls (e.g., Associated Press), or the official congressional certification of Electoral College votes in January 2029.

Background

The 61st United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2028, with the winner taking office on January 20, 2029. Early discussions around potential Democratic contenders include several state governors and federal officials.

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