MANIFOLD
Will at least one state have "no in person voting, only mail in." in the 2024 presidential election?
15
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

resolves yes if in any state an average person cannot go to a polling place on or around election day, get a ballot, fill it in and leave it there.

see also:
/CodeandSolder/will-any-new-states-implement-allma-adb38b008e05
/CodeandSolder/how-many-new-states-will-implement

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ43
2Ṁ16
3Ṁ10
4Ṁ7
5Ṁ5
Sort by:
predictedYES

5+ states have universal mail-in voting, some have implemented these systems for well over a decade

@JoshuaFairbanks does any of them not allow in person voting as an option?

predictedYES

@CodeandSolder Yes, I live in one where there is no in-person voting unless you count going to leave your ballot at the county drop-box.

@JoshuaFairbanks I think it should count, no? it's not by mail then

predictedYES

@CodeandSolder The premise of this question confuses me. My state, Washington State, mails ballots to all registered voters. These can be returned by mail or to a designated ballot drop box. If you are an unregistered or disabled voter there are places you can go to complete same-day registration or to fill out a ballot in person.

From that perspective, no 100% vote-by-mail would be possible because these programs are usually tailored for voter inclusivity

@JoshuaFairbanks okay, let's chose a clear question: resolves yes if in any state an average person cannot go to a polling place on or around election day, get a ballot, fill it in and leave it there.

Are these questions based on reality or consensus on other social media sites?

@JoshuaFairbanks as in the resolution? Reality, you can look at how I resolved them so far for general direction.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy