This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
resolves yes if in any state an average person cannot go to a polling place on or around election day, get a ballot, fill it in and leave it there.
see also:
/CodeandSolder/will-any-new-states-implement-allma-adb38b008e05
/CodeandSolder/how-many-new-states-will-implement
Related questions
5+ states have universal mail-in voting, some have implemented these systems for well over a decade
@CodeandSolder Yes, I live in one where there is no in-person voting unless you count going to leave your ballot at the county drop-box.
@CodeandSolder The premise of this question confuses me. My state, Washington State, mails ballots to all registered voters. These can be returned by mail or to a designated ballot drop box. If you are an unregistered or disabled voter there are places you can go to complete same-day registration or to fill out a ballot in person.
From that perspective, no 100% vote-by-mail would be possible because these programs are usually tailored for voter inclusivity
@JoshuaFairbanks okay, let's chose a clear question: resolves yes if in any state an average person cannot go to a polling place on or around election day, get a ballot, fill it in and leave it there.
@JoshuaFairbanks I made two hopefully more interesting markets:
/CodeandSolder/will-any-new-states-implement-allma-adb38b008e05
/CodeandSolder/how-many-new-states-will-implement
@JoshuaFairbanks as in the resolution? Reality, you can look at how I resolved them so far for general direction.