When will Lithium stop being the #1 by USD market share rechargeable battery chemistry?
6
215Ṁ141
2099
7%
before 2030
23%
[2030-2035)
24%
[2035-2040)
25%
[2040-2050)
8%
[2050-2070)
6%
[2070-2100)
6%
not by 2100

Includes all types of rechargable batteries, for example in portable devices, cars and grid-scale storage. Does not include any other energy storage methods used in the same application such as supercapacitors, hydrogen, flywheels, compressed air, feed for hamsters running on wheels and so on.

Long-term Markets
Energy
Electric Grid
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I see some interesting stuff for Sodium Ion batteries from China, and solid state from NASA. mainly going to be a supply chain issue.

People are also trading

Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?
70% chance
Will the US be a top 3 lithium producer in 2033?
64% chance
US imports more lithium for consumption in 2026 than 2024?
75% chance
What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?
Will the USA have >=1TWh/yr of installed lithium ion battery production capacity by 2030?
81% chance
Will an electric vehicle containing a Sila Nanotechnologies >10% silicon anode be commercially available by the end of 2025?
33% chance
What will the $/kWh price for battery cells be at the end of 2025
74
Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?
16% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy