Resolution criteria

The market will resolve based on the gender of the next individual holding a Cabinet-level position who is fired or ousted from their role by President Donald Trump.

• "Female" will resolve to YES if the next fired Cabinet member is female.

• "Male" will resolve to YES if the next fired Cabinet member is male.

A "Cabinet member" is defined as a head of an executive department (e.g., Secretary of State, Attorney General) requiring Senate confirmation. The resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House, the President's official social media accounts (e.g., Truth Social), or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Washington Post). If an official resigns under pressure or is forced out, it will be considered a "firing."

Background

In his second term, President Donald Trump has recently undergone Cabinet-level staff changes. In March 2026, he removed Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security. On April 2, 2026, he removed Pam Bondi as Attorney General. Both individuals were female. This market tracks the gender of the next Cabinet official to be fired by the President.

Unknown if it’s relevant, but if necessary, the gender assigned at birth will be used to resolve the question.

This description was generated by AI.