This market resolves to 'Yes' if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks in the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by the American Tricentennial, July 4, 2076.
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to "Yes" if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks within the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by July 4, 2076. The ranking will be determined based on cumulative box office gross as reported by a reputable source such as Box Office Mojo or The Numbers. The film must be released by a Hollywood studio and have its primary setting and narrative centered on the American Revolution.
Background
Historically, films centered on the American Revolution have struggled to achieve significant box office success. For instance, "The Patriot" (2000), starring Mel Gibson, grossed approximately $113 million domestically, which did not place it among the top 10 films of that year. (boxofficemojo.com) Other films like "Revolution" (1985) and "Drums Along the Mohawk" (1939) also failed to secure top box office positions. (en.wikipedia.org, movieweb.com)
Considerations
The American Tricentennial in 2076 may inspire renewed interest in the American Revolution. However, given the historical underperformance of such films at the box office and the future evolution of film, achieving a top 10 domestic ranking would require a significant shift in audience interest and marketing strategies.
If the center of the American film industry moves (for example, to Vancouver or Atlanta), it will be considered 'Hollywood' if the majority of market capitalization in the local film industry is that of former Hollywood studios.