Length of longest sequence of years with an increasing July temperature anomaly for the period 2020-2035.
Basic
3
Ṁ352035
13%
2 years
17%
3 years
17%
4 years
17%
5 years
35%
6+ years
The market resolves to highest sequence of years July temperature anomaly increases in the period 2020-2035.
With only the current data for the period this would resolve as 2.
2020 - 0.91C
2021 - 0.92C
2022 - 0.89C
2023 - 1.12C
This market will resolve based on NOAA data (https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/1/7/2020-2023) with the following options:
Time scale: 1-month.
Month: July.
Start Year: 2020
End Year: 2035
Region: Global
Surface: Land & Ocean
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Climate change: In which month will the 30-year global warming trend first reach 1.37°C?
Will any month in 2024 have the highest temperature anomaly on record?
4% chance
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record”, globally?
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record” in the US?
New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030
52% chance