Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any of the following companies publicly announce a power purchase agreement (PPA), behind-the-meter agreement, nuclear/renewable supply contract, or equivalent power arrangement of ≥1,000 MW (1 GW) or more, dedicated to a single datacenter or datacenter campus:
Amazon (AWS), Microsoft (Azure), Alphabet (Google Cloud), Meta, Oracle Cloud, Apple, IBM Cloud
Or any "neocloud" (CoreWeave, Lambda, Crusoe, etc.)
Source of truth: public press releases, SEC filings, EIA datacenter-electricity reports, utility-commission filings (state PUCs publish PPAs), or major news outlets reporting based on these primary sources.
The deal must be specifically for a datacenter or datacenter campus, not a portfolio-level corporate procurement. Multi-site aggregations don't count unless ≥1 GW is dedicated to a single named datacenter.
Resolution date: 2026-12-31.
About this market. This market is part of SCB/SCO Reference Run #001 — AI Compute (30-day longitudinal demonstration) under Leadership Under Uncertainty. It is a research-demonstration corpus, not a commercial product.
Open-Sources-Only Commitment. This market resolves only against publicly accessible sources (SEC filings, government data, public benchmark publications, public corporate communications). Subscription-gated analyst content is not used in resolution.
Creator-is-not-trader. The creator of this market does not place trades on it. Probabilities reflect community trading.
Pre-registration. Question wording, resolution criteria, and close date were locked before any market data was observed and cryptographically anchored on day 0 of the run via the SCB/SCO daily Merkle seal. See protocol.
1,000Potential evidence for the stated December 31 resolution: Meta’s July 13 update describes its single Richland Parish campus expanding to 5 GW and a corresponding Entergy energy agreement: https://datacenters.atmeta.com/2026/07/deepening-our-investment-in-richland-parish-louisiana/ . Entergy’s March 27 announcement details the campus agreement and a Meta-funded buildout exceeding 5,200 MW: https://www.entergy.com/news/entergy-louisiana-announces-a-new-agreement-with-meta-that-will-deliver-an-additional-2b-in-customer-savings . Entergy also specifies broader grid benefits, so I would not claim all that generation is exclusively dedicated to Meta. Does the campus-specific agreement meet your equivalent-power-arrangement criterion? This is about the announced agreement, not already-operating capacity. I have no position.