What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
82
17kṀ15k
2059
97%
Covid
94%
Russia-Ukraine War
88%
Brexit
86%
January 6th
82%
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
82%
Israel-Hamas War
77%
LLMs
75%
George Floyd Protests
63%
The Rise of China
61%
Private Spaceflight
61%
Bitcoin
57%
Violent repression of women in Iran
54%
New York v Trump 2024
51%
Tigray War
40%
BRICS Expansion
21%
Meme stocks
13%
Enshittification

Many news stories are gripping to read, but are not of serious world historical importance. Most will be considered trivial decades from now. Which stories are different? Which will be included in respected world history textbooks of the future?

Specifically, think about textbooks on modern/contemporary world history, in use by college or high school courses, and/or published by established textbook publishers in the 2050s.

Here are some current textbooks to look at for reference. What news stories from the 90s are recorded in these books?

Traditions & Encounters: A Global Perspective on the Past, from 1500 to the Present

https://a.co/d/a9Pc4sc

International History of the Twentieth Century and Beyond

https://a.co/d/et1bgTx

The Twentieth-Century World and Beyond: An International History since 1900

https://a.co/d/bFJJsb1

When resolving the bet, I will randomly select an active publisher from the list below and choose a world history textbook comparable to the ones above. I will continue until I have three such textbooks. I will then check each proposed story against the table of contents and index. If a proposed story appears in one of the three books, the bet will resolve as “yes” for that story.

Publishing Companies

Oxford University Press

Cambridge University Press

St. Martin's / Bedford Books

McGraw-Hill

University of California Press

Cengage / Wadsworth Publishing

W. W. Norton

Routledge

Columbia University Press

Pearson / Merrill Prentice Hall

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy