This question resolves as “yes” if before the end of 2035, the Economic Freedom of the World Index (Fraser) or the Index of Economic Freedom (Heritage/WSJ) ranks any country’s economic freedom score at 9.5/95 or higher, respectively.

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 29% chance (11 traders, as of Aug 20, 2024).

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Which of the (Economist Index) US democracy categories fell in 2025?

Will the US fall below 30th on the Index of Economic Freedom rankings by 2029, conditional on each candidate winning?

Which country will be the first to go over 5 on the Economist's Democracy index

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

44% chance

What will be Argentina’s peak economic freedom between 2024 & 2030, according to the Economic Freedom of the World?

Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026?

25% chance

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

47% chance

Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?

99% chance

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

76% chance

Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?

84% chance