Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
8
47
190
2028
86%
chance

Resolves based on Freedom House ratings: https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-states

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The USA has been a democracy for the past ~247 years despite enduring worse turmoil than this, so I am very doubtful this will change too much in the next 5 years.