I just realized there are 100+ markets asking if AI will wipe out humanity, which is ridiculous since there is an ACTUAL PRESSING ISSUE burning the world alive
Also if I still remotley care about manifold by 2035 I'll extend it (and while I hope to live past 2100 the odds are against me so oh well)
Yeah, the disparity is pretty absurd - I don't think either one is going to wipe out humanity, but all the focus on future AI which may or may not be hostile, while climate change is currently happening and will certainly get worse if we don't do something about it, is silly.
Also, I'd suggest putting an explicit timeframe on this, like "by 2035," "by 2050," "by 2100," etc. - otherwise people are just gonna buy YES since there's no mechanism for a NO resolution.