Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Question

Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100. If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake. Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was the effects of climate change that did us in.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (25 traders, as of Aug 20, 2026).