Which happens first?
3
100Ṁ555
2043
0.8%
LeBron scores fewer than 10 pts in a regular season game
0.8%
LeBron announces he's retired
98.3%
Bronny scores 10+ pts in a regular season game

Background

LeBron James has been remarkably consistent throughout his career, having never scored fewer than 10 points in a regular season game since January 5, 2007 - a streak of over 1,200 games. Bronny James, currently in his rookie season with the Lakers, has scored a career-high of 2 points in a single NBA game (against the Cleveland Cavaliers on October 30, 2024). LeBron has shown no indication of imminent retirement plans.

Resolution Criteria

The market will resolve based on which of these events occurs first chronologically:

  • LeBron scores fewer than 10 points in a regular season NBA game (garbage time and partial games due to injury count)

  • LeBron retires

  • Bronny scores 10 or more points in a regular season NBA game (playoff games do not count)

If multiple events occur on the same day, the market will resolve based on the earliest timestamp. If the exact timestamps cannot be determined, the market will resolve N/A.

Considerations

  • LeBron's scoring streak of 10+ points is the longest in NBA history

  • Bronny is currently receiving limited playing time, which may affect his scoring opportunities

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