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MANIFOLD
Is Ohio's Senate Race a bellwether?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ999
resolved Nov 12
Resolved
YES

Sherrod Brown's chances of reelection seem to closely track Harris odds of being president.

Resolves YES if both Harris and Brown are elected or both are not elected.

NO if Trump and Brown or Harris and Moreno are elected.

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Not sure why this got traded down to the 60s. I think they're highly correlated with Brown winning being quite indicative of whether the Rust Belt/Blue Wall stays blue