Democrats win at least one of Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats?
9
Ṁ250Ṁ2242027
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter. Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction. Original prediction: "Democrats win at least one of the Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post. If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Nice market, I like it! Both a good parlay market and nice to track pundit forecasts. I made the dual for the other side of the swing states: /EvanDaniel/republicans-win-at-least-one-of-mem .
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