Who will win the 2022 Fields medals?
43
2.7kṀ20kresolved Jul 5
25%25%
June Huh
25%27%
James Maynard
25%24%
Hugo Duminil-Copin
25%19%
Maryna Viazovska
0.0%Other
0.9%
Bhargav Bhatt
0.2%
Alexander Efimov
0.1%
Song Sun
0.3%
Aleksandr Logunov
0.1%
Xinwen Zhu
0.1%
Jacob Tsimerman
0.1%
Jack Thorne
0.1%
Emmy Murphy
1.3%
Karim Adiprasito
0.6%
Adam Hoffman
0.0%
Tim Austin
0.1%
Vlad Vicol
0.1%
Zhiwei Yun
As is announced at the Fields Medal ceremony on July 6th. If the award is refused by a winner, they will still be considered to have won for the purposes of resolving this market.
Apr 8, 12:59pm: Unlike Nobel laureates, who might share a prize in different proportions (e.g. if there are three, the awarding committee may opt to award half the award money to one recipient and a quarter to each of the two others), Fields medalists have been treated equally in the past. I do not anticipate this changing, but even if it does, this market will resolve to distribute the pool equally among the winning options.
Close date updated to 2022-07-04 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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