Who will win the 2022 Fields medals?
43
2.7kṀ20kresolved Jul 5
25%25%
June Huh
25%27%
James Maynard
25%24%
Hugo Duminil-Copin
25%19%
Maryna Viazovska
0.0%Other
0.9%
Bhargav Bhatt
0.2%
Alexander Efimov
0.1%
Song Sun
0.3%
Aleksandr Logunov
0.1%
Xinwen Zhu
0.1%
Jacob Tsimerman
0.1%
Jack Thorne
0.1%
Emmy Murphy
1.3%
Karim Adiprasito
0.6%
Adam Hoffman
0.0%
Tim Austin
0.1%
Vlad Vicol
0.1%
Zhiwei Yun
As is announced at the Fields Medal ceremony on July 6th. If the award is refused by a winner, they will still be considered to have won for the purposes of resolving this market.
Apr 8, 12:59pm: Unlike Nobel laureates, who might share a prize in different proportions (e.g. if there are three, the awarding committee may opt to award half the award money to one recipient and a quarter to each of the two others), Fields medalists have been treated equally in the past. I do not anticipate this changing, but even if it does, this market will resolve to distribute the pool equally among the winning options.
Close date updated to 2022-07-04 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,039 | |
| 2 | Ṁ884 | |
| 3 | Ṁ790 | |
| 4 | Ṁ515 | |
| 5 | Ṁ486 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
Who will win the 2034 Fields Medals?
Who Will Win an Individual Gold Medal at the 2028 Olympic Games?
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
1% chance
What country will win the most medals at the Olympic Esports Games 2027?