Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
35
1kṀ12k
2029
1.4%
chance

This market is intended to measure the probability of a major breakthrough in mathematics with AI by DeepMind researchers.

AI
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,250 NO

Literally they have to win at ICM 2026 lol free money, ICM 2030 doesn't happen BEFORE 2030

Even if some Fields-medal-worthy mathematics comes out of DeepMind in the near future, it is still unlikely that the researchers will receive the Fields medal, given the rules of who it is given to (mathematicians under the age of 40, 2-4 individuals every four years).

☠️

People are also trading

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
-18% 1d27% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
31% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
51% chance
Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
Who will win the 2034 Fields Medals?
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
19% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance
Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
35% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
33% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy