Which will occur first? | Manifold

Which will occur first?

#AI #Technology #Science #Economics

23

90

Ṁ612

Ṁ520

2028

AGI62%

1D

1W

1M

ALL

When there is credible evidence that either has occured, I will create a poll to determine resolution

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bought Ṁ10 AGI

2028 might be a bit optimistic for either. But especially printers working.

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AI questions

Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?

Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?

Technology questions

Will I find GPT-4o more helpful than Claude 3 Opus for doing web development tomorrow?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Science questions

Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Economics questions

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

Related questions

Which of these four events will happen first? #1

Which of the following AI-related statements will happen first?

Which of these four events will happen first? #2

Which of these potentially world-changing discoveries will happen first?

Which will happen first?

What will happen first?

Which of these three events will happen first?

Who will die first?

Which of these four events will happen first? #3

Who will be defeated First Blackbeard or Imu?