Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040? | Manifold

Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040?

19

1kṀ494

2041

73%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not include meat substitutes or cell-cultured meat. A positive resolution requires 3+ articles from reputable news organizations that suggest that meat consumption has gone down by 10% or more between any period post-2022 to market close.

I will not be proactively searching for such articles. I will need to come across them organically or they can be commented on this market or sent to me via Twitter DM.

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FWIW according to USDA "per capita meat disappearance" is still rising. There's very good data on this so I'm hoping this market won't resolve on fluff news articles if they contradict USDA data. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/#All%20Meat%20Statistics

USDA ERS - Livestock and Meat Domestic DataLock

The Livestock & Meat Domestic Data contains current and historical data on pork, beef, veal, and poultry, including production, supply, utilization, and farm prices.

Total or per capita?

@JimHays Per capita

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