Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040?
Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040?
19
1kṀ494
2041
73%
chance

Does not include meat substitutes or cell-cultured meat. A positive resolution requires 3+ articles from reputable news organizations that suggest that meat consumption has gone down by 10% or more between any period post-2022 to market close.

I will not be proactively searching for such articles. I will need to come across them organically or they can be commented on this market or sent to me via Twitter DM.

Animal Consumption Trends
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1y

FWIW according to USDA "per capita meat disappearance" is still rising. There's very good data on this so I'm hoping this market won't resolve on fluff news articles if they contradict USDA data. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/#All%20Meat%20Statistics

USDA ERS - Livestock and Meat Domestic DataLock
The Livestock & Meat Domestic Data contains current and historical data on pork, beef, veal, and poultry, including production, supply, utilization, and farm prices.
2y

Total or per capita?

2y

@JimHays Per capita

2y

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