Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040? | Manifold

Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 10%+ by 2040?

Carson's Important Markets•Animal Consumption Trends

19

64

Ṁ495

Ṁ410

2041

73%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not include meat substitutes or cell-cultured meat. A positive resolution requires 3+ articles from reputable news organizations that suggest that meat consumption has gone down by 10% or more between any period post-2022 to market close.

I will not be proactively searching for such articles. I will need to come across them organically or they can be commented on this market or sent to me via Twitter DM.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ55 of NO

FWIW according to USDA "per capita meat disappearance" is still rising. There's very good data on this so I'm hoping this market won't resolve on fluff news articles if they contradict USDA data. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/#All%20Meat%20Statistics

USDA ERS - Livestock and Meat Domestic DataLock

The Livestock & Meat Domestic Data contains current and historical data on pork, beef, veal, and poultry, including production, supply, utilization, and farm prices.

Total or per capita?

@JimHays Per capita

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Animal Consumption Trends questions

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

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Related questions

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Will any US state ban consumption of animal meat (not lab-grown meat) by 2050?

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Will USA meat consumption be lower in 2024 compared to 2023?

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