Will Blackstone have the largest est. dry powder of any private fund manager by the end of 2026?
Will Blackstone have the largest est. dry powder of any private fund manager by the end of 2026?
8
190Ṁ532027
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves per the Preqin league tables on 12/31/26. As of market creation (12/8/22), the top 5 private fund managers in order of estimated dry powder are as follows:
Blackstone: $93B
KKR: $71B
Brookfield: $62B
Goldman: $41B
Ardian: $37B
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Blackstone IX hit its fundraising target of $30B?
57% chance
Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
38% chance
As of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
Will @BasedBeffJezos be worth > $3 million by EOY 2025?
41% chance
Will the Investment Corporation of Dubai hold the largest PE allocation by 2025?
44% chance
Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?
63% chance
Will Sam Altman have more than $10Bn in assets before 2030?
83% chance
Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
36% chance
Will SBF have an estimated net worth >= $1B in 2030?
10% chance