Will SBF have an estimated net worth >= $1B in 2030?
27
1kṀ17532030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Sam Bankman-Fried has an estimated net worth of at least $1B, according to the 2030 Forbes billionaire list. If Forbes does not publish such list in 2030, resolves based on estimates of other reliable media publications.
The 2022 list is at https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/ listing his net worth at $24B, and the real-time list https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires does not include him - his estimated net worth has dropped below $1B.
This question therefore assesses the probability that SBF makes a comeback after the FTX collapse.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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