Will SBF have an estimated net worth >= $1B in 2030?
Plus
27
Ṁ17532030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Sam Bankman-Fried has an estimated net worth of at least $1B, according to the 2030 Forbes billionaire list. If Forbes does not publish such list in 2030, resolves based on estimates of other reliable media publications.
The 2022 list is at https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/ listing his net worth at $24B, and the real-time list https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires does not include him - his estimated net worth has dropped below $1B.
This question therefore assesses the probability that SBF makes a comeback after the FTX collapse.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Manifold’s High Net Worth Individuals - How high will networths get in 2024?
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
54% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $50 billion before 2030?
15% chance
Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?
33% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
56% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $500 billion by 2030?
38% chance
Will Sam Altman have more than $10Bn in assets before 2030?
76% chance
Will there be manifold billionaire by 2030
47% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $100 billion before 2030?
25% chance