Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal on Manifold before the end of 2024?
11
150Ṁ361Jan 1
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal at Manifold before the end of 2024?
This will return yes if there is a credible report from:
The site admins;
A credible news outlet;
Matt Levine.
Otherwise this will return no.
Note: The size of the scandal is not relevant, only that it was large enough that any of the listed sources deem it notable enough to report on it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the government come after Manifold for gambling on the site before 2026?
5% chance
Will anyone file a lawsuit to insider trade on a Manifold market, by 2030?
13% chance
Will a Manifold user attempt to Whistleblow on Manifold to CFTC before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
16% chance
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
21% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2026?
48% chance