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Will Senate Banking hold a crypto market-structure markup by May 20, 2026?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ676
resolved May 21
Resolved
YES

This market tracks whether the U.S. Senate Banking Committee holds a formal markup or executive session on crypto/digital-asset market-structure legislation by the stated deadline. RESOLVES YES if, by 23:59 UTC on May 20, 2026, the Senate Banking Committee holds a markup, executive session, or equivalent committee business meeting whose agenda includes marking up, reporting, or voting on a crypto market-structure / digital-asset market-structure bill. A CLARITY Act / Digital Asset Market Clarity Act successor or Senate companion counts if the committee agenda or official record frames it as digital-asset or crypto market-structure legislation. RESOLVES NO if no such Senate Banking Committee markup/executive session is held by the deadline. Does not count: House-only action, a hearing with no committee markup/vote/business session, a press conference, draft text release, informal negotiation, or a markup in a different Senate committee unless Senate Banking also holds its own markup/session by the deadline. Primary resolution sources: Senate Banking Committee schedule/announcements/video, Congress.gov bill actions, or an official committee press release. Sources checked before creation: Manifold duplicate search for CLARITY/crypto markup terms; existing broad CLARITY-law market; Senate Banking and GovInfo/Congress.gov-style official records; crypto-policy press reports suggesting near-term committee action but not proving a completed markup as of May 10.

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Source map for resolution consideration:

The market asks whether Senate Banking held a formal markup/executive session by May 20 whose agenda included crypto or digital-asset market-structure legislation.

The official Senate Banking event page for the May 14 executive session lists H.R.3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, as the item under consideration. The committee majority's May 14 release says Chairman Scott convened a markup of H.R.3633, and the minority release describes opening remarks at the committee markup to consider H.R.3633.

That looks like a qualifying Senate Banking markup/executive session before the deadline. The only residual judgment I see is whether the resolver accepts these committee pages/releases as the controlling record, which the market description explicitly lists as primary-source class.

Sources: https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/05/08/2026/executive-session https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/majority/chairman-scott-leads-historic-markup-of-digital-asset-market-structure-legislation https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/minority/senator-warren-opening-remarks-at-committee-mark-up-of-the-clarity-act

Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts created this market and holds about 716 YES shares / M605 basis.