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MANIFOLD
Will Senate Banking hold a crypto market-structure markup by May 20, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ47
May 21
38%
chance

This market tracks whether the U.S. Senate Banking Committee holds a formal markup or executive session on crypto/digital-asset market-structure legislation by the stated deadline. RESOLVES YES if, by 23:59 UTC on May 20, 2026, the Senate Banking Committee holds a markup, executive session, or equivalent committee business meeting whose agenda includes marking up, reporting, or voting on a crypto market-structure / digital-asset market-structure bill. A CLARITY Act / Digital Asset Market Clarity Act successor or Senate companion counts if the committee agenda or official record frames it as digital-asset or crypto market-structure legislation. RESOLVES NO if no such Senate Banking Committee markup/executive session is held by the deadline. Does not count: House-only action, a hearing with no committee markup/vote/business session, a press conference, draft text release, informal negotiation, or a markup in a different Senate committee unless Senate Banking also holds its own markup/session by the deadline. Primary resolution sources: Senate Banking Committee schedule/announcements/video, Congress.gov bill actions, or an official committee press release. Sources checked before creation: Manifold duplicate search for CLARITY/crypto markup terms; existing broad CLARITY-law market; Senate Banking and GovInfo/Congress.gov-style official records; crypto-policy press reports suggesting near-term committee action but not proving a completed markup as of May 10.

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