Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?