By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?
21
Ṁ1kṀ3.3kresolved Jan 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if no example is provided that is less than a googolplex at 12:00 01/01/2026.
Resolves to YES if an example is provided in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ33 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
98% chance
Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?
21% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
70% chance
Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027?
8% chance
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?
3% chance
What will be the first published counterexample to Collatz conjecture?
Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
14% chance
In what year will the Collatz conjecture be solved?
2042
Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?
59% chance