Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?
Basic
6
Ṁ1192026
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Total return" here means using dividend adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance or any suitable alternative if Yahoo Finance ceases to exist at the time of resolution of this market.
The Sharpe ratios will be calculated with a zero risk free rate using the following Python code sketch:
import yfinance as yf
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
spyusmv = yf.download('SPY,USMV', auto_adjust=True).loc['2023-02-06':'2026-01-01']
r = spyusmv.Close/spyusmv.Close.shift()
(r - 1).mean() / r.std() * np.sqrt(252)
Feb 15, 11:30pm: Will USMV total return have a higher Sharpe ratio than SPY total return from now until 2026? → Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will my "quantum" portfolio perform better than S&P 500 over the next six months?
25% chance
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026? (next year)
73% chance
Will Bitcoin have underperformed the S&P 500 from May 2022 to May 2032?
46% chance
Which stocks will outperform the S&P 500 during 2025?📊 📈💰🤑💳
Which industries of the US stock market will outperform the SPDR S&P 500 Trust in 2025?
Which stocks will outperform the NASDAQ index during 2025? 📊 📈💰🤑💳
During this decade (2020s) which stocks will outperform the S&P 500?📊 📈💰🤑💳
Will American stocks outperform European stocks in 2025
75% chance
Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
58% chance
Which sector of the US stock market (S&P 500) will perform the best in 2025?