Which sector of the US stock market (S&P 500) will perform the best in 2025?
5
1.1kαΉ€430
2026
5%
Communication Services (XLC)
4%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
4%
Consumer Staples (XLP)
15%
Energy (XLE)
4%
Financials (XLF)
10%
Health Care (XLV)
12%
Industrials (XLI)
4%
Materials (XLB)
4%
Real Estate (XLRE)
29%
Technology (XLK)
7%
Utilities (XLU)

The largest exchange traded fund (ETF) in the world is the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF. The SPDR launched in 1993 and is tracks the top 500 publicly-traded companies in the United States (i.e. the S&P 500). State Street Corporation, which manages SPDR, has also managed ETFs that divide the S&P 500 into eleven sectors.

Which of these sector ETFs will grow the most (or lose the least) over the course of 2025?

This question resolves by comparing the YTD percentage growth of each fund at the end of December 2025 (e.g. as recorded on Google Finance or the funds' website) and resolving to the one fund that grew the most (or if all funds were negative, lost the least).

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Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the delinquency rate for commercial real estate loans in the U.S. exceeds 2% before 2026. With interest rates still high and remote work reshaping office demand, it's a tough climate for many property owners. I’ve been tracking market trends using rightmove plus, and even though it’s UK-focused, the insights on commercial shifts and investor behavior feel globally relevant. Real estate, like human behavior, reacts to uncertainty, especially financial and structural changes. If inflation lingers or another economic shock hits, we could easily see delinquency spike.

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