Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?
Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?
21
1kṀ3994
2029
4%
chance

Not to be confused with "Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?", I mean the number 2,024.

This market resolves YES if Donald Trump, over his lifetime, wins 2,024 elections. Winning an election means winning any sort of vote that entitles you to a position (not merely opinion polls), including but not limited to: presidential elections, House elections, Senate elections, speakership elections, state elections (legislative and executive), judicial elections, local elections, sheriff elections, board elections, tribal elections, rigged or fraudulent elections (openly and non-openly), non-US elections, student elections and papal elections.

US Politics
Republican Party
Fun
2024 US Presidential Election
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1y

He has only won two elections so far afaik.
- 2016 presidential election
- 2023 hubbard rural fire protection district election

predictedYES 1y

Trump won 2496 counties in the 2020 Presidential election, not to mention the 2016 primary, 2016 general, and 2020 primary. Considering each county has their own ballot and counts their own votes, this should easily resolve YES

1y

@YoungGailean the resolution criteria specify the election must entitle Trump to a "position" like president, congressman, Pope and so on. My impression is that winning a county does not itself entitle you to a position - except in its contribution towards winning a state and therefore the overall election. I am happy to be persuaded otherwise if you can show that this impression is mistaken.

7mo

Does the party nominee count as a separate position to president in your view?

6mo

@CU If he were to be elected Pope 2,022 times, would that resolve to YES, then?

5mo

@CraigDemel yes

5mo

@TheAllMemeingEye seems reasonable

1y

This is dirty. 🗑 🤡

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