Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?
13
119
290
2029
18%
chance

Not to be confused with "Will Joe Biden win the 2024 election?", I mean the number 2,024.

This market resolves YES if Joe Biden, over his lifetime, wins 2,024 elections. Winning an election means winning any sort of vote that entitles you to a position (not merely opinion polls), including but not limited to: presidential elections, House elections, Senate elections, speakership elections, state elections (legislative and executive), judicial elections, local elections, sheriff elections, board elections, tribal elections, rigged or fraudulent elections (openly and non-openly), non-US elections, student elections and papal elections.

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Each elector is one election

@AaronKreider Still has a way's to go, but including all the primaries that he has won, the electors (as VP and P)... it's closer than you'd think.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Betting YES, just in case. You never know...

bought Ṁ10 of YES

I just ran 114,000 non-US, openly rigged, fraudulent elections for Jim’s Current/Former President of the Microsecond. Biden won 2511 of the elections.

@JimHays the resolution criteria specify the elections need to entitle Biden to some sort of actual position or role, like being a president, senator, congressman and so on, not merely bestowing a title

sold Ṁ10 of YES

What is the position of a beauty pageant winner, and how is it different from merely bestowing a title?

@JimHays Yeah, you've got me there, that's a good point. I've removed that example from the description, if you've lost any mana from trading under the misleading impression it caused, let me know and I'll refund you

I sold without losing mana

bought Ṁ30 of NO

Will you extend the closing date if Biden is alive in 2029, or does it need to happen before then?

@JimHays yes, I'll extend the closing date

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