Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?
23
Ṁ1kṀ12k
2029
1.6%
chance

Not to be confused with "Will Joe Biden win the 2024 election?", I mean the number 2,024.

This market resolves YES if Joe Biden, over his lifetime, wins 2,024 elections. Winning an election means winning any sort of vote that entitles you to a position (not merely opinion polls), including but not limited to: presidential elections, House elections, Senate elections, speakership elections, state elections (legislative and executive), judicial elections, local elections, sheriff elections, board elections, tribal elections, rigged or fraudulent elections (openly and non-openly), non-US elections, student elections and papal elections.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES

local elections

I ran a local election to decide who gets to own the water bottle im currently holding back in 2,024 and joe biden won. Resolves yes

bought Ṁ100 NO

surely resolves NO or NA @Gen

@strutheo Probably when he dies

Each elector is one election

@AaronKreider Still has a way's to go, but including all the primaries that he has won, the electors (as VP and P)... it's closer than you'd think.

Betting YES, just in case. You never know...

I just ran 114,000 non-US, openly rigged, fraudulent elections for Jim’s Current/Former President of the Microsecond. Biden won 2511 of the elections.

@JimHays the resolution criteria specify the elections need to entitle Biden to some sort of actual position or role, like being a president, senator, congressman and so on, not merely bestowing a title

What is the position of a beauty pageant winner, and how is it different from merely bestowing a title?

@JimHays Yeah, you've got me there, that's a good point. I've removed that example from the description, if you've lost any mana from trading under the misleading impression it caused, let me know and I'll refund you

I sold without losing mana

Will you extend the closing date if Biden is alive in 2029, or does it need to happen before then?

@JimHays yes, I'll extend the closing date